I believe that, even looking at the risks around Lombard, Cardano is the best network to utilize Bitcoin liquidity safely and efficiently. LST project Lombard ($1.5B TVL) relies on security from Babylon ($6.3B TVL). This model's critical vulnerability is its dependence on the price of the inflationary $BABY token, which could compromise the entire system if its value declines. This specific risk is fundamentally absent in Cardano's ecosystem. Through trustless solutions like the proposed BitcoinOS, BTC can be bridged directly to Cardano without third-party custody or exposure to a volatile secondary asset. BTCFi on Cardano would function as an additive layer on top of an already robust ADA staking model, rather than depending on a separate token's performance for its security. The difference in decentralization is also stark. Whereas Lombard relies on Babylon's Cosmos SDK setup with fewer than 100 nodes, Cardano is secured by a globally distributed network of over 2,700 stake pools, offering vastly superior resilience. Furthermore, Cardano’s mature DeFi ecosystem, complete with established stablecoins like USDM and USDA, provides a fertile environment for bridged BTC. This allows Bitcoin to be paired with stable assets and deployed across various protocols for yield generation a level of integration that Lombard cannot achieve without adding layers of external risk. The potential depegging of a token like $LBTC would not only destabilize the nascent BTCFi market but could also push the Bitcoin community toward greater isolationism. Cardano's architecture avoids these pitfalls. This combination of robust security, strong decentralization, and an established DeFi ecosystem is precisely why I believe Cardano is the most suitable network for BTCFi, and the one that can truly deliver value to BTC holders.
Lombard, one of the hottest Bitcoin liquid staking platforms right now, just launched $BARD. But the real question is whether Lombard’s LST model is actually sustainable. The problem is that Babylon the protocol securing Lombard has seen its staking yields collapse, with APR now sitting at just 0.34%. At that level, there’s basically no incentive for new BTC liquidity to flow in. On top of that, $BABY Babylon’s native token has been tanking for multiple reasons. With an annual 8% inflation rate being distributed to both validators and stakers, the sell pressure is only accelerating the price decline. As a result, falling $BABY prices give BTC holders even less reason to take on staking risk, which will likely lead to declining TVL. This also weakens validator rewards in real terms, making it harder to maintain network security. That, in turn, lowers the cost of potential attacks and increases systemic risk across the Babylon network. And because Lombard’s LBTC-BTC peg ultimately depends on Babylon’s security, these risks spill over into Lombard itself and by extension, the entire DeFi ecosystem being built on top of it. As things stand right now, Lombard’s LST ecosystem looks risky on multiple fronts.
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