As noted last week, $BTC remains range-bound. How can we capture swing trades in this chop? A quick recap — Overall LIQ and LSUR Z Index:
Since October 11, CoinKarma identified the market as entering a sideways trend — a structure that continues to hold.
We’ll now use the Overall LIQ and LSUR Z Index to backtest and analyze swing setups within this range:
✳️ Overall LIQ: A weighted indicator reflecting overall market liquidity.
✳️ LSUR Z Index: Measures the deviation (in standard deviations) of LSUR — the long/short ratio of top coin perpetual positions — from its 14-day average.(Note: LSUR = Long/Short User Ratio in perpetual futures)
As shown in the chart, when Overall LIQ and LSUR Z Index align, there’s a high probability of short-term reversals. Since the bounce from point A, there’s been no clear sign of a local top, suggesting further upside potential.
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According to recent data analysis, $BTC is likely entering a consolidation phase. How can traders seize swing-trading opportunities during this range-bound period?
Last week, $BTC rebounded after another dip, signaling that the market is currently in a recovery and consolidation stage—a period that falls within CoinKarma’s “Advantage Zone.”
Let’s review the setup using Market Pulse and determine the phase of this consolidation through the Karma Index.
✳️ Market Pulse: A weighted composite of 11 CoinKarma indicators.
✳️ Karma Index: A quantitative cyclical index covering spot liquidity, on-chain data, exchange activity, and derivatives market metrics.
In bull-market cycles, a Karma Index reading around 35 often marks an ideal accumulation zone, typically appearing after major $BTC corrections. Historically, the market has taken weeks to months to stabilize from these points. As shown in past instances, the last two occurrences of a ~35 reading led to month-long consolidation phases, while the current phase has lasted only about 10 days, suggesting that $BTC is likely to continue ranging for some time.
Another key observation: in the past, $BTC never broke below the price range corresponding to a Karma Index of 35, which later preceded strong uptrends. If that range fails to hold this time, it could signal a potential trend weakness.
Overall, this stage represents CoinKarma’s “Advantage Zone”—a prime environment for identifying swing-trading opportunities within the consolidation range. Notably, Ultron Signal, which uses Market Pulse as its primary trading signal, recently hit a record performance high of +173%.
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