As noted last week, $BTC remains range-bound. How can we capture swing trades in this chop? A quick recap — Overall LIQ and LSUR Z Index:
Since October 11, CoinKarma identified the market as entering a sideways trend — a structure that continues to hold.
We’ll now use the Overall LIQ and LSUR Z Index to backtest and analyze swing setups within this range:
✳️ Overall LIQ: A weighted indicator reflecting overall market liquidity.
✳️ LSUR Z Index: Measures the deviation (in standard deviations) of LSUR — the long/short ratio of top coin perpetual positions — from its 14-day average.(Note: LSUR = Long/Short User Ratio in perpetual futures)
As shown in the chart, when Overall LIQ and LSUR Z Index align, there’s a high probability of short-term reversals. Since the bounce from point A, there’s been no clear sign of a local top, suggesting further upside potential.
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According to recent data analysis, $BTC is likely entering a consolidation phase. How can traders seize swing-trading opportunities during this range-bound period?
Last week, $BTC rebounded after another dip, signaling that the market is currently in a recovery and consolidation stage—a period that falls within CoinKarma’s “Advantage Zone.”
Let’s review the setup using Market Pulse and determine the phase of this consolidation through the Karma Index.
✳️ Market Pulse: A weighted composite of 11 CoinKarma indicators.
✳️ Karma Index: A quantitative cyclical index covering spot liquidity, on-chain data, exchange activity, and derivatives market metrics.
In bull-market cycles, a Karma Index reading around 35 often marks an ideal accumulation zone, typically appearing after major $BTC corrections. Historically, the market has taken weeks to months to stabilize from these points. As shown in past instances, the last two occurrences of a ~35 reading led to month-long consolidation phases, while the current phase has lasted only about 10 days, suggesting that $BTC is likely to continue ranging for some time.
Another key observation: in the past, $BTC never broke below the price range corresponding to a Karma Index of 35, which later preceded strong uptrends. If that range fails to hold this time, it could signal a potential trend weakness.
Overall, this stage represents CoinKarma’s “Advantage Zone”—a prime environment for identifying swing-trading opportunities within the consolidation range. Notably, Ultron Signal, which uses Market Pulse as its primary trading signal, recently hit a record performance high of +173%.
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5.54 ألف
5
المحتوى الوارد في هذه الصفحة مُقدَّم من أطراف ثالثة. وما لم يُذكَر خلاف ذلك، فإن OKX ليست مُؤلِّفة المقالة (المقالات) المذكورة ولا تُطالِب بأي حقوق نشر وتأليف للمواد. المحتوى مٌقدَّم لأغراض إعلامية ولا يُمثِّل آراء OKX، وليس الغرض منه أن يكون تأييدًا من أي نوع، ولا يجب اعتباره مشورة استثمارية أو التماسًا لشراء الأصول الرقمية أو بيعها. إلى الحد الذي يُستخدَم فيه الذكاء الاصطناعي التوليدي لتقديم مُلخصَّات أو معلومات أخرى، قد يكون هذا المحتوى الناتج عن الذكاء الاصطناعي غير دقيق أو غير مُتسِق. من فضلك اقرأ المقالة ذات الصِلة بهذا الشأن لمزيدٍ من التفاصيل والمعلومات. OKX ليست مسؤولة عن المحتوى الوارد في مواقع الأطراف الثالثة. والاحتفاظ بالأصول الرقمية، بما في ذلك العملات المستقرة ورموز NFT، فيه درجة عالية من المخاطر وهو عُرضة للتقلُّب الشديد. وعليك التفكير جيِّدًا فيما إذا كان تداوُل الأصول الرقمية أو الاحتفاظ بها مناسبًا لك في ظل ظروفك المالية.